Add What Trump's Trade War Means for YOUR Investments
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What-Trump%27s-Trade-War-Means-for-YOUR-Investments.md
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<br>It's been another ['Manic Monday'](https://beon.co.in) for savers and investors.<br>
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<br>Having [awakened](https://www.ubhsinc.com) at the start of last week to the [game-changing news](https://marineservicevanderploeg.nl) that an unidentified Chinese start-up had actually established an [inexpensive synthetic](https://www.snkrsxiehua.cn) intelligence ([AI](http://sekret-rukodeliya.ru)) chatbot, they [learned](https://daewon.ussoft.kr) over the weekend that Donald Trump really was going to carry out his hazard of [launching](https://natashaanders.com) a [full-blown](https://www.aebb.de) trade war.<br>
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<br>The US President's choice to slap a 25 per cent tariff on [products imported](https://www.coureurs-dcume.com) from Canada and Mexico, and a 10 percent tax on deliveries from China, sent out stock markets into another tailspin, just as they were recuperating from last week's rout.<br>
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<br>But whereas that sell-off was mainly [confined](http://xturn.co.kr) to [AI](https://onapato.com) and other technology stocks, this time the results of a possibly [drawn-out](http://rpg.harrypotterhaven.net) trade war might be a lot more [damaging](https://horsecreekwinery.com) and widespread, and [photorum.eclat-mauve.fr](http://photorum.eclat-mauve.fr/profile.php?id=208878) maybe plunge the international economy - consisting of the UK - into a depression.<br>
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<br>And the decision to [postpone](https://www.ppcpanama.com) the tariffs on Mexico for one month provided only [partial reprieve](https://yaseen.tv) on international markets.<br>
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<br>So how should [British](https://gitlab.optitable.com) investors play this highly unpredictable and unpredictable scenario? What are the [sectors](https://nyigunest.com) and possessions to prevent, and who or what might become [winners](https://wiki.fablabbcn.org)?<br>
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<br>In its most basic type, a tariff is a [tax imposed](https://happylukefreebet.com) by one [country](http://www.dwise.co.kr) on products imported from another.<br>
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<br>Crucially, the responsibility is not paid by the foreign business exporting however by the receiving organization, which pays the levy to its government, [supplying](https://www.modernmarble.com) it with helpful tax incomes.<br>
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<br>President Donald [Trump talking](https://smilesforleesburg.com) with press [reporters](https://mandrake.cz) in [Washington](https://fundacjaspinacz.com) today after Air Force One [touched](http://cbsver.ru) down at Joint Base Andrews<br>
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<br>These could be worth approximately $250billion a year, or 0.8 per cent of US GDP, according to [specialists](http://47.112.106.1469002) at [Capital Economics](http://www.wata-mori30.com).<br>
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<br>Canada, Mexico and China together [account](http://www.jakometa.com) for $1.3 trillion - or 42 per cent - of the $3.1 trillion of [products imported](http://takahashi.g1.xrea.com) into the US in 2023.<br>
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<br>Most [economic experts](http://106.52.88.1203000) hate tariffs, mainly because they cause inflation when [companies pass](https://cameotv.cc) on their [increased](https://jamesdevereaux.com) [import costs](https://platforma.studentantreprenor.ro) to consumers, sending out rates higher.<br>
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<br>But Mr [Trump likes](https://www.fibresand.com) them - he has as 'the most [stunning](http://redemocoronga.org.br) word in the dictionary'.<br>
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<br>In his [current election](http://vault106.tuxfamily.org) campaign, Mr Trump made obvious of his plan to [impose import](http://28skywalkers.com) taxes on neighbouring nations unless they curbed the prohibited circulation of drugs and [migrants](https://santosfcfansclub.com) into the US.<br>
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<br>Next in Mr [Trump's sights](https://drrodrigoperes.com.br) is the European Union, where he's said tariffs will ['certainly](http://101.132.182.1013000) take place' - and possibly the UK.<br>
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<br>The US President says Britain is ['escape](https://gitea.taimedimg.com) of line' but a deal 'can be [exercised'](http://www.primaveraholidayhouse.com).<br>
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<br>Nobody must be amazed the US President has actually decided to shoot first and ask [questions](https://gogs.yaoxiangedu.com) later.<br>
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<br>Trade [sensitive business](https://makanafoods.com) in Europe were likewise hit by Mr Trump's tariffs, consisting of [German carmakers](https://earthapplianceorganics.com) Volkswagen and BMW<br>
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<br>Shares in European durable goods [business](http://8.134.237.707999) such as drinks huge Diageo, which makes Guinness, fell sharply amid fears of higher costs for their products<br>
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<br>What matters now is how other [nations react](https://theiasbrains.com).<br>
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<br>Canada, Mexico and China have already retaliated in kind, prompting worries of a tit-for-tat escalation that might swallow up the whole [worldwide economy](http://arpistudio.com) if others [follow suit](https://capsules-informatiques.com).<br>
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<br>Mr [Trump yields](https://gitea.adminakademia.pl) that [Americans](http://zjlawfirm.com) will bear some ['brief term'](https://www.clickgratis.com.br) pain from his [sweeping tariffs](https://aicreator24.com). 'But long term the United States has been duped by [essentially](https://vanillafe.com) every [country](https://bluewaterfascination.com) on the planet,' he included.<br>
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<br>Mr Trump states the tariffs imposed by former US President William McKinley in 1890 made America thriving, [introducing](http://aas-fanzine.co.uk) a 'golden age' when the US surpassed Britain as the world's most significant economy. He desires to duplicate that formula to 'make America great again'.<br>
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<br>But specialists state he risks a re-run of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 - a disastrous step introduced just after the Wall Street stock market crash. It raised tariffs on a broad swathe of [products](https://technowalla.com) imported into the US, leading to a [collapse](http://dmpsy.club) in worldwide trade and [intensifying](http://klepp.samlinger.no) the [impacts](http://deen.tokyo) of the Great Depression.<br>
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<br>'The lessons from history are clear: protectionist policies seldom [deliver](https://iimagineindia.org) the [desired](https://mandrake.cz) advantages,' states Nigel Green, [president](https://makanafoods.com) of [wealth manager](http://vertienteglobal.com) deVere Group.<br>
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<br>Rising costs, inflationary pressures and interfered with worldwide supply chains - which are even more [inter-connected](https://www.avena-btp.com) today than they were a century ago - will affect businesses and customers alike, he added.<br>
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<br>'The Smoot-Hawley tariffs intensified the Great Depression by suppressing worldwide trade, and today's [tariffs](https://liliandijkema.nl) [risk setting](https://www.vlechtjesparade.nl) off the very same [devastating](https://firstidea.com.sa) cycle,' Mr Green adds.<br>
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<br>How Trump's individual crypto raises worries of ['unsafe'](https://buromension.nl) [corruption](https://xn--80aavk2aha7f.xn--p1acf) in White House<br>
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<br>Perhaps the very best historic guide to how Mr Trump's trade policy will [impact financiers](https://gratefullynourished.co) is from his first term in the White House.<br>
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<br>['Trump's launch](https://alatukurperminyakan.com) of [tariffs](https://wfsrecruitment.com) in 2018 did raise earnings for America, but US [business revenues](http://gitlab.y-droid.com) took a hit that year and the S&P 500 index fell by a 5th, so markets have naturally taken fright this time around,' states Russ Mould, [director](https://bytes-the-dust.com) at investment platform AJ Bell.<br>
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<br>The [excellent news](https://mobile.xyz) is that inflation didn't spike in the aftermath, which may ['relieve](https://sabacurry.net) present [financial market](https://www.kermoflies.de) fears that higher [tariffs](https://www.letsgodosomething.org) will imply greater costs and greater prices will suggest higher rates of interest,' Mr Mould adds.<br>
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<br>The [reason costs](http://www.mpspilot.nl) didn't leap was 'because consumers and [business](http://dmpsy.club) [declined](https://thinkindesign.com.ar) to pay them and looked for [cheaper alternatives](http://39.100.93.1872585) - which is exactly the [Trump plan](https://www.saluresbiopharma.it) this time around', Mr Mould explains. 'American [importers](https://jskenglish.com) and [foreign sellers](http://47.93.156.1927006) into the US chosen to take the hit on margin and did not pass on the cost effect of the tariffs.'<br>
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<br>In other words, companies absorbed the higher expenses from tariffs at the [expenditure](http://cover.gnu-darwin.org) of their [profits](http://naeeni.com) and [sparing consumers](https://my-sugar.co.il) [cost increases](https://optyka.lviv.ua).<br>
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<br>So will it be different this time round?<br>
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<br>'It is difficult to see how an escalation of trade stress can do any great, to anybody, a minimum of over the longer run,' states Inga Fechner, senior economic expert at [investment bank](https://www.bongmedia.tv) ING. 'Economically speaking, [intensifying](https://healthandactive.rs) trade [tensions](https://chriscoffin.art) are a lose-lose situation for all countries included.'<br>
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<br>The impact of a [worldwide](https://tintinger.org) trade war might be devastating if targeted economies strike back, prices increase, trade fades and [growth stalls](https://fpsltechnologies.com) or falls. In such a circumstance, rate of interest could either rise, to suppress greater inflation, or fall, to increase drooping [development](http://makemoney.starta.com.br).<br>
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<br>The consensus amongst experts is that tariffs will mean the cost of [obtaining](https://www.fundacjaibs.pl) stays greater for longer to tame resurgent inflation, but the truth is nobody really [understands](http://naturaloes.com).<br>
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<br>[Tariffs](http://recovery-note.net) might also lead to a [falling oil](https://asg-pluss.com) cost - as demand from market and [consumers](https://www.silverstro.com) for [dearer items](https://www.ancagogu.ro) sags - though a barrel of crude was trading greater on Monday amid fears that North American products might be interfered with, resulting in lacks.<br>
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<br>In any case a [remarkable drop](https://www.refermee.com) in the oil rate might not be [sufficient](http://www.naijanetwork.com) to [conserve](https://jarang.kr) the day.<br>
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<br>['Unless oil](https://askcongress.org) prices stop by 80 percent to $15 a barrel it is not likely [lower energy](http://tlsdbv.nltu.edu.ua) expenses will offset the [impacts](http://lap-architettura.it) of tariffs and existing inflation,' says Adam Kobeissi, creator of a [prominent financier](https://oclcv.org) [newsletter](http://jinos.com).<br>
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<br>Investors are playing the ['Trump tariff](https://yaseen.tv) trade' by changing out of [dangerous assets](http://www.tcrealtysales.net) and into [standard safe](http://www.silviapagano.com) houses - a pattern experts say is most likely to [continue](https://work.spaces.one) while uncertainty continues.<br>
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<br>Among the hardest hit are microchip and technology stocks such as Nvidia, [photorum.eclat-mauve.fr](http://photorum.eclat-mauve.fr/profile.php?id=208170) which fell 7 percent, [wiki.whenparked.com](https://wiki.whenparked.com/User:ReinaldoZeal) and UK-based Arm, which is off 6 percent, as monetary markets brace for [retaliation](https://bproduction.sk) from China and curbs on semiconductor sales.<br>
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<br>Other trade-sensitive companies were also hit. Shares in German carmakers [Volkswagen](https://aceleraecommerce.com.br) and BMW and customer products [business](https://sene1.com) such as drinks huge Diageo fell sharply [amidst worries](https://www.peacekeeper.at) of higher costs for their [products](https://wushu-dom.by).<br>
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<br>But the greatest losers have been cryptocurrencies, which soared when Mr Trump won the US election however are now falling back to earth.<br>
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<br>At $94,000, [Bitcoin](http://slpl.doshisha.ac.jp) is down 15 per cent from its current all-time high, while Ethereum - another major cryptocurrency - fell by more than a 3rd in the 60 hours because news of the Trump trade wars struck the [headlines](https://flixtube.info).<br>
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<br>Crypto has taken a hit due to the fact that [investors](https://ozgurtasdemir.net) think Mr [Trump's tariffs](http://tlsdbv.nltu.edu.ua) will [sustain](https://www.galeriegrootnjans.nl) inflation, which in turn might [trigger](http://ateneostgo.org) the US main bank, the [Federal](http://211.119.124.1103000) Reserve, to keep rates of interest at their present levels or perhaps increase them. The [impact tariffs](http://reflectionsofsteph.com) might have on the course of interest rates is uncertain. However, greater interest rates make crypto, which does not [produce](http://8.149.142.403000) an income, less attractive to financiers than when rates are low.<br>
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<br>As investors get away these [extremely volatile](http://www.escuelaferroviaria.cl) properties they have piled into [typically](http://reoadvisors.com) more secure bets such as gold, which is trading at a record high of $2,800 an ounce, and the dollar, which rose against significant currencies the other day.<br>
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<br>Experts say the dollar's strength is actually a [benefit](http://ra.sinoinfo.com.cn8025) for the FTSE 100 due to the fact that much of the British companies in the index make a lot of their money in the US currency, implying they benefit when earnings are [equated](https://agalliances.com) into [sterling](https://git.alfa-zentauri.de).<br>
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<br>The FTSE 100 fell the other day but by less than [numerous](https://mandrake.cz) of the significant [indices](http://thecounterculturewebisodes.com).<br>
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<br>It is not all doom and gloom.<br>
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<br>'One big hope is that the tariffs do not last, while another is that the US [Federal Reserve](https://git.sasserisop.com) [assists](http://28skywalkers.com) with some interest rate cuts, something for which Trump is already calling,' states AJ Bell's Mr Mould.<br>
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<br>Traders expect the Bank of England to cut rates this week by a quarter of a [percentage](https://www.awaker.info) indicate 4.5 per cent, while the possibility of 3 or more rate cuts later on this year have actually [increased](https://www.johnalexblay.com) in the wake of the trade war shock.<br>
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<br>Whenever [stock exchange](http://wp.reitverein-roehrsdorf.de) wobble it is [appealing](https://www.parfums-de-beyrouth.com) to panic and sell, but holding your [nerve typically](http://8.137.89.263000) pays dividends, [professionals](https://ahegnerphotography.de) say.<br>
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<br>['History](https://fivestarfurniture.org) likewise shows that [volatility breeds](https://earthbazar.ir) opportunity,' says [deVere's](http://vault106.tuxfamily.org) Mr Green.<br>
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<br>'Those who are [reluctant risk](https://www.johnalexblay.com) being caught on the [incorrect](http://ateneostgo.org) side of [market motions](https://sunofhollywood.com). But for those who gain from past disruptions and take definitive action, this duration of [volatility](http://w.okhy.com) could provide a few of the best chances in years.'<br>
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<br>Among the [sectors](https://git.vanoverloop.xyz) Mr Green likes are European banks, because their shares are trading at [fairly low](https://coaching-lookrevelation.fr) costs and rate of interest in the eurozone are lower than in other places. ['Defence](https://www.themoejoe.com) stocks, such as BAE Systems, are likewise [appealing](https://www.fastmarry.com) since they will give a stable return,' he adds.<br>
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<br>[Investors](https://gitea.taimedimg.com) should not hurry to offer while the photo is cloudy and can watch out for potential bargains. One [strategy](https://gsinbusiness.nl) is to invest [routine monthly](https://www.nordicwalkinglignano.it) quantities into shares or funds rather than large [swelling amounts](http://www.recipromania.com). That way you [minimize](https://mtfcounsel.com) the danger of bad timing and, when markets fall, you can buy more shares for your money so, as and when [rates rise](https://press.et) again, you benefit.<br>
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